{
"DataStatus": {
"RequestParameter": "{\"province\": \"江苏\", \"subject_type\": \"物理类\", \"score\": 635, \"rank\": 12000, \"batch\": \"本科批\", \"top_n\": 10, \"include_explanation\": false, \"prefer_local\": false, \"college_provinces\": [\"江苏\", \"上海\"], \"target_colleges\": [\"南京大学\", \"东南大学\", \"南京航空航天大学\", \"南京理工大学\", \"苏州大学\", \"南京邮电大学\", \"河海大学\", \"江南大学\", \"上海大学\", \"华东理工大学\"], \"year\": 2026, \"local_batch_name\": \"本科批\"}",
"StatusCode": 100,
"StatusDescription": "预测成功",
"ResponseDateTime": "2026-10-15 11:40:31.437",
"DataTotalCount": 10,
"RequestId": "4c034183-8a67-4b2e-b2fe-730f49b66c54"
},
"Data": {
"predictions": [
{
"college_name": "苏州大学",
"admission_probability": 0.98900462962962965,
"evidence": {
"recent_3y_min_score": [
600.0,
598.0
],
"score_gap": 36.400000000000091,
"score_gap_original": 35.0,
"province_line_gap": 172.0,
"is_985": false,
"is_211": true,
"is_dual_class": true,
"college_rank": 42,
"plan_enrollment": 3111,
"plan_coverage_ratio": 1.0,
"student_rank": null,
"historical_min_rank": 34888.0,
"rank_gap": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_missing": true,
"rank_source": "missing",
"rank_data_year": null,
"score_source": "request",
"score_data_year": null,
"is_local": true,
"history_year_count": 3,
"control_line_source": "historical_admission_line",
"control_line_year": null,
"recent_min_trend": 3.0,
"probability_source": "binary_college_fallback",
"aggregation_mode": "college_fallback",
"historical_score_summary": {
"years": [
2023,
2024,
2025
],
"latest_min_score": 600.0,
"recent_min_score_average": 598.0,
"student_score": 635.0,
"gap_to_latest_min": 35.0,
"gap_to_recent_min_average": 37.0
}
},
"shap_explanation": null,
"recommendation": "录取概率高",
"long_recommendation": "当前录取参考概率较高，按近年录取情况看，你的分数处于相对安全区间。你的分数高于近三年最低线35分，也高于近三年均值线37分。本次按院校层历史录取数据估算。",
"major_name": null,
"tier_name": null,
"tier_label": null,
"tier_min_probability": null,
"education_level": "bachelor",
"coverage_level": "full",
"data_through_year": 2025,
"risk_label": "保",
"risk_policy_version": "legacy-v1",
"chance_score": 0.98900462962962965,
"interpretation": "历史条件下机会较高，建议作为稳妥梯度参考。",
"long_interpretation": "在江苏、物理类、本科批和院校历史数据范围内，模型给出 0.99 的历史条件机会估计。历史数据覆盖 2023 至 2025 年。输入分数高于最新可用最低线 35 分，高于近年最低线均值 37 分。仍需核对当年专业组、选科、体检、校区和调剂要求。",
"historical_years": [
2023,
2024,
2025
],
"plan_coverage": {
"status": "NOT_APPLICABLE",
"ratio": null,
"matched_plan_rows": null,
"covered_plan_total": null,
"school_plan_total": null
},
"fallback_path": {
"applied": false,
"requested_level": "college",
"effective_level": "college",
"strategy": "college_fallback",
"reason": null
},
"evidence_consistency_status": "VERIFIED"
},
{
"college_name": "江南大学",
"admission_probability": 0.98656898656898662,
"evidence": {
"recent_3y_min_score": [
604.0,
601.0
],
"score_gap": 33.100000000000023,
"score_gap_original": 31.0,
"province_line_gap": 172.0,
"is_985": false,
"is_211": true,
"is_dual_class": true,
"college_rank": 57,
"plan_enrollment": 837,
"plan_coverage_ratio": 1.0,
"student_rank": null,
"historical_min_rank": 31362.0,
"rank_gap": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_missing": true,
"rank_source": "missing",
"rank_data_year": null,
"score_source": "request",
"score_data_year": null,
"is_local": true,
"history_year_count": 3,
"control_line_source": "historical_admission_line",
"control_line_year": null,
"recent_min_trend": 3.0,
"probability_source": "binary_college_fallback",
"aggregation_mode": "college_fallback",
"historical_score_summary": {
"years": [
2023,
2024,
2025
],
"latest_min_score": 604.0,
"recent_min_score_average": 601.0,
"student_score": 635.0,
"gap_to_latest_min": 31.0,
"gap_to_recent_min_average": 34.0
}
},
"shap_explanation": null,
"recommendation": "录取概率高",
"long_recommendation": "当前录取参考概率较高，按近年录取情况看，你的分数处于相对安全区间。你的分数高于近三年最低线31分，也高于近三年均值线34分。本次按院校层历史录取数据估算。",
"major_name": null,
"tier_name": null,
"tier_label": null,
"tier_min_probability": null,
"education_level": "bachelor",
"coverage_level": "full",
"data_through_year": 2025,
"risk_label": "保",
"risk_policy_version": "legacy-v1",
"chance_score": 0.98656898656898662,
"interpretation": "历史条件下机会较高，建议作为稳妥梯度参考。",
"long_interpretation": "在江苏、物理类、本科批和院校历史数据范围内，模型给出 0.99 的历史条件机会估计。历史数据覆盖 2023 至 2025 年。输入分数高于最新可用最低线 31 分，高于近年最低线均值 34 分。仍需核对当年专业组、选科、体检、校区和调剂要求。",
"historical_years": [
2023,
2024,
2025
],
"plan_coverage": {
"status": "NOT_APPLICABLE",
"ratio": null,
"matched_plan_rows": null,
"covered_plan_total": null,
"school_plan_total": null
},
"fallback_path": {
"applied": false,
"requested_level": "college",
"effective_level": "college",
"strategy": "college_fallback",
"reason": null
},
"evidence_consistency_status": "VERIFIED"
},
{
"college_name": "南京邮电大学",
"admission_probability": 0.96408839779005528,
"evidence": {
"recent_3y_min_score": [
608.0,
608.33333333333337
],
"score_gap": 26.766666666666652,
"score_gap_original": 27.0,
"province_line_gap": 172.0,
"is_985": false,
"is_211": false,
"is_dual_class": true,
"college_rank": 122,
"plan_enrollment": 3368,
"plan_coverage_ratio": 1.0,
"student_rank": null,
"historical_min_rank": 27965.0,
"rank_gap": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_missing": true,
"rank_source": "missing",
"rank_data_year": null,
"score_source": "request",
"score_data_year": null,
"is_local": true,
"history_year_count": 3,
"control_line_source": "historical_admission_line",
"control_line_year": null,
"recent_min_trend": -5.0,
"probability_source": "binary_college_fallback",
"aggregation_mode": "college_fallback",
"historical_score_summary": {
"years": [
2023,
2024,
2025
],
"latest_min_score": 608.0,
"recent_min_score_average": 608.33333333333337,
"student_score": 635.0,
"gap_to_latest_min": 27.0,
"gap_to_recent_min_average": 26.666666666666629
}
},
"shap_explanation": null,
"recommendation": "录取概率高",
"long_recommendation": "当前录取参考概率较高，按近年录取情况看，你的分数处于相对安全区间。你的分数高于近三年最低线27分，也高于近三年均值线26.7分。本次按院校层历史录取数据估算。",
"major_name": null,
"tier_name": null,
"tier_label": null,
"tier_min_probability": null,
"education_level": "bachelor",
"coverage_level": "full",
"data_through_year": 2025,
"risk_label": "保",
"risk_policy_version": "legacy-v1",
"chance_score": 0.96408839779005528,
"interpretation": "历史条件下机会较高，建议作为稳妥梯度参考。",
"long_interpretation": "在江苏、物理类、本科批和院校历史数据范围内，模型给出 0.96 的历史条件机会估计。历史数据覆盖 2023 至 2025 年。输入分数高于最新可用最低线 27 分，高于近年最低线均值 26.7 分。仍需核对当年专业组、选科、体检、校区和调剂要求。",
"historical_years": [
2023,
2024,
2025
],
"plan_coverage": {
"status": "NOT_APPLICABLE",
"ratio": null,
"matched_plan_rows": null,
"covered_plan_total": null,
"school_plan_total": null
},
"fallback_path": {
"applied": false,
"requested_level": "college",
"effective_level": "college",
"strategy": "college_fallback",
"reason": null
},
"evidence_consistency_status": "VERIFIED"
}
],
"meta": {
"total_colleges": 10,
"student_score": 635.0,
"student_province": "江苏",
"local_colleges": 8,
"score_diff_min": 4.0,
"score_diff_median": 12.5,
"prefer_local": false,
"college_provinces": [
"江苏",
"上海"
],
"model_version": "v1.1.0",
"prediction_year": 2026,
"requested_year": 2026,
"history_through_year": 2025,
"data_through_year": 2025,
"historical_years": [
2023,
2024,
2025
],
"interpretation_policy_version": "2026-08",
"policy_constraints": {
"status": "PARTIALLY_EVALUATED",
"evaluated": [
"province",
"subject_type",
"batch"
],
"not_evaluated": [
"subject_selection",
"physical_exam",
"single_subject_score"
],
"notice": "未评估项需以当年省级考试院和院校招生章程为准。"
},
"education_level": "bachelor",
"coverage_level": "full",
"risk_policy_version": "legacy-v1",
"candidate_pool": {
"total_colleges": 10,
"feature_rows": 10
},
"rank_source": "missing",
"rank_missing": true,
"effective_rank": null,
"student_rank": null,
"score_source": "request",
"score_data_year": null,
"effective_score": 635.0,
"score_segments_through_year": null,
"control_line_source": "historical_admission_line",
"control_lines_through_year": null,
"data_sources_through_year": {
"admission_lines": 2025,
"major_admission_lines": null,
"enrollment_plans": 2026,
"province_control_lines": null,
"score_segments": null
},
"fallback": {
"applied": false,
"strategy": null,
"requested_year": 2026,
"effective_year": 2026,
"requested_major_name": null,
"effective_major_name": null,
"reason": null
}
},
"disclaimer": "本预测结果综合历年真实招生数据、院校录取趋势与机器学习模型推算而成，仅供志愿填报参考。建议结合当年政策、院校最新官方信息及个人实际情况综合判断，最终录取结果以各省考试院和院校官方公布为准。"
}
}