{
"DataStatus": {
"RequestParameter": "{\"province\": \"江苏\", \"subject_type\": \"物理类\", \"score\": 635, \"rank\": 12000, \"batch\": \"本科批\", \"top_n\": 10, \"include_explanation\": false, \"prefer_local\": false, \"college_provinces\": [\"江苏\", \"上海\"], \"target_colleges\": [\"南京大学\", \"东南大学\", \"南京航空航天大学\", \"南京理工大学\", \"苏州大学\", \"南京邮电大学\", \"河海大学\", \"江南大学\", \"上海大学\", \"华东理工大学\"], \"year\": 2026, \"local_batch_name\": \"本科批\"}",
"StatusCode": 100,
"StatusDescription": "预测成功",
"ResponseDateTime": "2026-08-31 03:38:55.393",
"DataTotalCount": 3,
"RequestId": "1ae771c9-f8df-450a-853d-f8a3142b50b4"
},
"Data": {
"predictions": [
{
"college_name": "南京邮电大学",
"admission_probability": 0.85133408129345634,
"evidence": {
"recent_3y_min_score": [
623.0,
623.0
],
"score_gap": 12.0,
"score_gap_original": 12.0,
"province_line_gap": 179.0,
"is_985": false,
"is_211": false,
"is_dual_class": true,
"college_rank": 122,
"plan_enrollment": 310,
"plan_coverage_ratio": 0.7067627494456763,
"major_hist_avg": 627.0,
"major_recent_min_trend": 0.0,
"aggregation_mode": "plan_weighted_school_probability",
"matched_plan_rows": 22,
"covered_plan_total": 2550,
"school_plan_total": 3608,
"historical_score_summary": {
"years": [
2025
],
"latest_min_score": 623.0,
"recent_min_score_average": 623.0,
"student_score": 635.0,
"gap_to_latest_min": 12.0,
"gap_to_recent_min_average": 12.0
}
},
"shap_explanation": null,
"recommendation": "录取概率高",
"long_recommendation": "当前录取概率较高，按近年录取情况看，你的分数处于相对安全区间。你的分数高于近三年最低线12分，也高于近三年均值线12分。该结果按可匹配专业的招生计划加权汇总，更接近学校整体录取难度。",
"major_name": null,
"tier_name": null,
"tier_label": null,
"tier_min_probability": null,
"chance_score": 0.85133408129345634,
"interpretation": "历史条件下机会较高，建议作为稳妥梯度参考。",
"long_interpretation": "在江苏、物理类、本科批和已匹配专业计划范围内，模型给出 0.85 的历史条件机会估计。历史数据使用 2025 年。输入分数高于最新可用最低线 12 分，高于近年最低线均值 12 分。招生计划覆盖率为 70.7%（2550/3608）。仍需核对当年专业组、选科、体检、校区和调剂要求。",
"data_through_year": 2025,
"historical_years": [
2025
],
"plan_coverage": {
"status": "AVAILABLE",
"ratio": 0.7067627494456763,
"matched_plan_rows": 22,
"covered_plan_total": 2550,
"school_plan_total": 3608
},
"fallback_path": {
"applied": false,
"requested_level": "college",
"effective_level": "plan_weighted_school",
"strategy": "plan_weighted_school_probability",
"reason": null
},
"evidence_consistency_status": "VERIFIED"
},
{
"college_name": "江南大学",
"admission_probability": 0.80693972272173831,
"evidence": {
"recent_3y_min_score": [
624.0,
600.0
],
"score_gap": 27.799999999999955,
"score_gap_original": 11.0,
"province_line_gap": 179.0,
"is_985": false,
"is_211": true,
"is_dual_class": true,
"college_rank": 57,
"plan_enrollment": 61,
"plan_coverage_ratio": 0.82332955832389576,
"major_hist_avg": 627.0,
"major_recent_min_trend": 44.0,
"aggregation_mode": "plan_weighted_school_probability",
"matched_plan_rows": 42,
"covered_plan_total": 727,
"school_plan_total": 883,
"historical_score_summary": {
"years": [
2021,
2022,
2025
],
"latest_min_score": 624.0,
"recent_min_score_average": 600.0,
"student_score": 635.0,
"gap_to_latest_min": 11.0,
"gap_to_recent_min_average": 35.0
}
},
"shap_explanation": null,
"recommendation": "录取概率高",
"long_recommendation": "当前录取概率较高，按近年录取情况看，你的分数处于相对安全区间。你的分数高于近三年最低线11分，也高于近三年均值线35分。该结果按可匹配专业的招生计划加权汇总，更接近学校整体录取难度。",
"major_name": null,
"tier_name": null,
"tier_label": null,
"tier_min_probability": null,
"chance_score": 0.80693972272173831,
"interpretation": "历史条件下机会较高，建议作为稳妥梯度参考。",
"long_interpretation": "在江苏、物理类、本科批和已匹配专业计划范围内，模型给出 0.81 的历史条件机会估计。历史数据使用 2021、2022、2025 年。输入分数高于最新可用最低线 11 分，高于近年最低线均值 35 分。招生计划覆盖率为 82.3%（727/883）。仍需核对当年专业组、选科、体检、校区和调剂要求。",
"data_through_year": 2025,
"historical_years": [
2021,
2022,
2025
],
"plan_coverage": {
"status": "AVAILABLE",
"ratio": 0.82332955832389576,
"matched_plan_rows": 42,
"covered_plan_total": 727,
"school_plan_total": 883
},
"fallback_path": {
"applied": false,
"requested_level": "college",
"effective_level": "plan_weighted_school",
"strategy": "plan_weighted_school_probability",
"reason": null
},
"evidence_consistency_status": "VERIFIED"
},
{
"college_name": "苏州大学",
"admission_probability": 0.70746824585381651,
"evidence": {
"recent_3y_min_score": [
635.0,
636.0
],
"score_gap": -0.70000000000004547,
"score_gap_original": 0.0,
"province_line_gap": 179.0,
"is_985": false,
"is_211": true,
"is_dual_class": true,
"college_rank": 42,
"plan_enrollment": 139,
"plan_coverage_ratio": 0.72792844777841892,
"major_hist_avg": 636.0,
"major_recent_min_trend": -4.0,
"aggregation_mode": "plan_weighted_school_probability",
"matched_plan_rows": 60,
"covered_plan_total": 2523,
"school_plan_total": 3466,
"historical_score_summary": {
"years": [
2023,
2024,
2025
],
"latest_min_score": 635.0,
"recent_min_score_average": 636.0,
"student_score": 635.0,
"gap_to_latest_min": 0.0,
"gap_to_recent_min_average": -1.0
}
},
"shap_explanation": null,
"recommendation": "需要注意梯度，但成功率较高",
"long_recommendation": "当前录取机会较大，但仍需关注同分段竞争和院校梯度波动。你的分数高于近三年最低线0分，但仍比近三年均值线低1分。该结果按可匹配专业的招生计划加权汇总，更接近学校整体录取难度。",
"major_name": null,
"tier_name": null,
"tier_label": null,
"tier_min_probability": null,
"chance_score": 0.70746824585381651,
"interpretation": "历史条件下机会中等偏高，建议结合其他志愿形成合理梯度。",
"long_interpretation": "在江苏、物理类、本科批和已匹配专业计划范围内，模型给出 0.71 的历史条件机会估计。历史数据覆盖 2023 至 2025 年。输入分数高于最新可用最低线 0 分，低于近年最低线均值 1 分。招生计划覆盖率为 72.8%（2523/3466）。仍需核对当年专业组、选科、体检、校区和调剂要求。",
"data_through_year": 2025,
"historical_years": [
2023,
2024,
2025
],
"plan_coverage": {
"status": "AVAILABLE",
"ratio": 0.72792844777841892,
"matched_plan_rows": 60,
"covered_plan_total": 2523,
"school_plan_total": 3466
},
"fallback_path": {
"applied": false,
"requested_level": "college",
"effective_level": "plan_weighted_school",
"strategy": "plan_weighted_school_probability",
"reason": null
},
"evidence_consistency_status": "VERIFIED"
}
],
"meta": {
"total_colleges": 3,
"student_score": 635.0,
"student_province": "江苏",
"local_colleges": null,
"score_diff_min": 0.0,
"score_diff_median": 11.0,
"prefer_local": false,
"college_provinces": [
"江苏",
"上海"
],
"model_version": "v1.1.0",
"data_through_year": 2025,
"historical_years": [
2021,
2022,
2023
],
"interpretation_policy_version": "2026-08",
"policy_constraints": {
"status": "PARTIALLY_EVALUATED",
"evaluated": [
"province",
"subject_type",
"batch"
],
"not_evaluated": [
"subject_selection",
"physical_exam",
"single_subject_score"
],
"notice": "未评估项需以当年省级考试院和院校招生章程为准。"
},
"coverage_level": "available",
"fallback": {
"applied": false,
"strategy": null,
"requested_year": 2026,
"effective_year": 2026,
"requested_major_name": null,
"effective_major_name": null
}
},
"disclaimer": "本预测结果综合历年真实招生数据、院校录取趋势与机器学习模型推算而成，仅供志愿填报参考。建议结合当年政策、院校最新官方信息及个人实际情况综合判断，最终录取结果以各省考试院和院校官方公布为准。"
}
}